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BALLARAT

R1 5:25 PM R2 5:59 PM R3 6:32 PM R4 7:06 PM R5 7:40 PM R6 8:09 PM R7 8:43 PM R8 9:10 PM

Race 8

9:10 PM
1710m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st SMOKEN ACE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SEBS CHOICE
3rd JILLIBY NITRO
4th ROCKNROLL HAMMER
✅ Place bet — won outright — SMOKEN ACE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Strong
Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.
6
SMOKEN ACE P $1.09
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. SMOKEN ACE FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.40 $1.09 $1.90
3. JILLIBY NITRO 3 $6.00 $1.75 $6.28
5. OPERATIVE LINE 5 $6.50 $1.85 $6.64
2. ROCKNROLL HAMMER 2 $11.00 $2.40 $10.83
1. SEBS CHOICE 1 $16.00 $2.75 $14.25
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.40) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 73% 95% 22*
1.50–1.99 35% 71% 51*
2.00–2.49 31% 71% 42*
2.50–3.49 34% 56% 59*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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