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PENRITH

R1 5:27 PM R2 5:59 PM R3 6:24 PM R4 6:51 PM R5 7:21 PM R6 7:51 PM R7 8:21 PM

Race 7

8:21 PM
1720m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st EBBONY STORM ⭐ Best Bet
2nd NEED FOUR SPEED
3rd ROSES ARE BEST
4th IM JUST SAYIN
✅ Place bet — won outright — EBBONY STORM finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
EBBONY STORM P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. EBBONY STORM FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.60 $1.08 $2.42
7. NEED FOUR SPEED 7 $3.60 $1.26 $4.60
6. ROSES ARE BEST 6 $8.50 $1.85 $8.58
5. JANELLE MAY 5 $11.00 $2.10 $11.61
8. IM JUST SAYIN 8 $15.00 $2.30 $15.32
2. TARA JIM 2 $26.00 $3.20 $21.40
1. TIGER LOLA 1 $34.00 $3.20 $28.24
3. BEYONDREASON 3 $71.00 $5.00 $50.50
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 97% 30*
1.50–1.99 this race 45% 82% 44*
2.00–2.49 46% 69% 52*
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 63
3.50–4.99 5% 41% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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