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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:12 PM R2 1:47 PM R3 2:22 PM R4 2:57 PM R5 3:37 PM R6 4:17 PM R7 4:57 PM

Race 4

2:57 PM
1609m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st NEEDY AN GREEDY 📍 Place Pick
2nd OUR ULTIMATE MAY 💡 Saver
3rd LORD JAYDO
4th HOWITIS
✅ Place bet — won outright — NEEDY AN GREEDY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — OUR ULTIMATE MAY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
NEEDY AN GREEDY W $2.10·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
4
OUR ULTIMATE MAY P $1.34
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. NEEDY AN GREEDY FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.10 $1.22 $3.06
4. OUR ULTIMATE MAY 4 $3.80 $1.34 $4.93
1. CARPENTER 1 $4.80 $1.38 $6.46
2. TRUTHBETOLD 2 $8.00 $1.95 $8.47
6. HOWITIS 6 $13.00 $2.80 $13.85
5. SCATTERSHOT 5 $23.00 $3.80 $23.18
9. DRIVING MISS MOLLY 9 $31.00 $3.90 $25.90
7. LORD JAYDO 7 $51.00 $5.50 $36.80
8. MERSADIES 8 $91.00 $7.00 $61.07
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 91% 33*
1.50–1.99 48% 79% 71
2.00–2.49 this race 44% 73% 66
2.50–3.49 32% 65% 103
3.50–4.99 15% 50% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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