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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:22 PM R2 1:03 PM R3 1:37 PM R4 2:16 PM R5 2:51 PM R6 3:33 PM R7 4:12 PM R8 4:46 PM

Race 4

2:16 PM
1609m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st TWO TICKS
2nd SHALAMAR MISS
3rd BARRYS ROSE 💡 Saver
4th ESPERANZA
❌ Unplaced — GO TESS GO didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — BARRYS ROSE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
GO TESS GO W $2.45·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
BARRYS ROSE P $1.38
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. GO TESS GO FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.45 $1.28 $3.47
3. BARRYS ROSE 3 $3.90 $1.38 $5.56
8. GIRLSGOTCURLS 8 $5.50 $1.80 $7.00
9. TWO TICKS 9 $6.50 $2.10 $8.57
6. PIXIEBELLE 6 $11.00 $2.60 $11.37
7. ESPERANZA 7 $17.00 $3.50 $16.68
4. SHALAMAR MISS 4 $20.00 $3.80 $19.53
5. A LITTLE DILEMMA 5 $21.00 $3.90 $19.84
1. MERSADIES 1 $61.00 $4.50 $43.03
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 91% 33*
1.50–1.99 48% 79% 71
2.00–2.49 this race 44% 73% 66
2.50–3.49 32% 65% 103
3.50–4.99 15% 50% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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