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PENRITH

R1 5:21 PM R2 5:47 PM R3 6:26 PM R4 7:03 PM R5 7:37 PM R6 8:11 PM R7 8:39 PM R8 9:05 PM

Race 7

8:39 PM
1720m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st SWEET SWEET TOOTH
2nd ROSES ARE BEST
3rd IMA SHINKANSEN
4th EBBONY STORM 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — EBBONY STORM didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
EBBONY STORM W $1.80·P $1.12
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
JILLIBY TOMCAT P $1.36
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. EBBONY STORM FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.80 $1.12 $2.70
2. JILLIBY TOMCAT 2 $4.80 $1.36 $5.71
4. SWEET SWEET TOOTH 4 $4.80 $1.36 $5.76
3. IMA SHINKANSEN 3 $8.00 $1.95 $9.14
7. ROSES ARE BEST 7 $10.00 $1.90 $10.64
8. PETES ONA MISSION 8 $23.00 $3.30 $21.66
6. TARA JIM 6 $101.00 $6.00 $57.14
5. MY FRIEND MOLLY 5 $126.00 $7.50 $74.05
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 97% 30*
1.50–1.99 this race 45% 82% 44*
2.00–2.49 46% 69% 52*
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 63
3.50–4.99 5% 41% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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