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REDCLIFFE

R1 12:11 PM R2 12:40 PM R3 1:17 PM R4 1:52 PM R5 2:33 PM R6 3:12 PM R7 3:47 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 3

1:17 PM
1780m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Redcliffe Harness Racing & Sporting Club ›
🏁 Result
1st SMARTER THAN YOU
2nd ZAC DANIELS
3rd BLACKJACK BART
4th DENVER COLORADO
❌ Unplaced — RADIANT AMBER didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
RADIANT AMBER P $1.22
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
3
SMARTER THAN YOU W $9.00
Form view · saver 17.0% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) · Recent form: 0131
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. RADIANT AMBER FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.65 $1.22 $2.38
2. BLACKJACK BART 2 $7.50 $2.35 $7.87
4. DENVER COLORADO 4 $7.50 $2.50 $8.32
3. SMARTER THAN YOU 3 $9.00 $2.90 $8.75
6. MACH ASSASSIN 6 $8.00 $2.70 $8.79
1. ZAC DANIELS 1 $8.50 $2.35 $9.51
Favourite record at REDCLIFFE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 90% 82
1.50–1.99 this race 46% 81% 140
2.00–2.49 45% 76% 136
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 145
3.50–4.99 28% 47% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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