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BALLARAT

R1 5:19 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:33 PM R4 7:08 PM R5 7:44 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:47 PM R8 9:19 PM

Race 7

8:47 PM
1710m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st NOBLE COUNT
2nd AGAINST THE BRIDLE
3rd JUST ABIT DUSTY 📍 Place Pick
4th NIGHT FLIGHT
✅ Place bet landed — JUST ABIT DUSTY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
7
JUST ABIT DUSTY W $2.30·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
6
AT THE DISTANCE P $1.60
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. JUST ABIT DUSTY FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.30 $1.28 $3.53
6. AT THE DISTANCE 6 $4.60 $1.60 $5.85
5. AGAINST THE BRIDLE 5 $4.80 $1.65 $6.20
10. NOBLE COUNT 10 $8.50 $2.35 $10.16
4. FLING IT RAINBOW 4 $10.00 $2.50 $10.52
1. JOEY BEE 1 $21.00 $3.30 $21.80
8. LOW LIE THE FIELDS 8 $23.00 $4.40 $22.18
9. JACKOFALLTRADES 9 $23.00 $4.00 $23.10
3. NIGHT FLIGHT 3 $34.00 $5.25 $32.62
2. LITTLE TEDEY 2 $51.00 $5.25 $38.75
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 35% 61% 23*
2.00–2.49 this race 38% 71% 21*
2.50–3.49 31% 44% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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